Re: Wing re-build, washout question
Your comments didn't rub the fir, sometimes the management at NASA sure does though. Your comment was pretty typical of the general public on flight safety issues. It is a complex topic and there are lots of statisticians who play free and loose with the statistics and cause a lot of the problems. The real issue is that we should go into risky endeavors with our eyes wide open. If we are going to explore space we WILL lose vehicles and crews. The solution is to KNOW the real risks and make informed choices knowing the chances of loosing the throw of the dice. If we lie to the people, twist the statistics, then lynch someone with blame when things go wrong we do a huge disservice to those who take the risks (INFORMED risks) to advance the science. I did training for astronaut classes, and they KNEW the risks, and took them. Every one of them knew the chances they would be blown to cinders or killed by radiation or suffocated in an accident. We had brave people lined up to do it anyway.
It is the same with us and our flying old airplanes. EVERY time we go up we KNOW we are taking a risk (not nearly the risk an astronaut does, but much higher than taking up bridge). We do it anyway because it is worth it. We love it and our lives wouldn't be complete without it. The old statistic about the most dangerous part of a GA plane flight being hte drive to the airport is BUNK. I know, I ran the numbers. Our risk is about the same as riding a motorcycle. Yea, I know, shocked me too! We do what we can to reduce the risk. The total risk is based on ALL GA flights and normal driving. That means the risk taken by the idiots out there who "flat-hat", don't get weather forecasts, skip parts of the pre-flight, don't use check lists and all the other things we see all the time and say, "Well, NOT ME! I wouldn't do that!", are included in the data. Fly safe and DON'T fly when you shouldn't and your odds get better, just like staying off the worst roads at rush hour makes driving safer.
What WE do helps us the most and we need to not tempt fate. I have lost too many friends already (astronauts AND GA pilots). Stay safe folks! Have fun, but DON'T take those chances.
Now "Hold my beer and WATCH THIS!!!!" ;-)
Hank
Your comments didn't rub the fir, sometimes the management at NASA sure does though. Your comment was pretty typical of the general public on flight safety issues. It is a complex topic and there are lots of statisticians who play free and loose with the statistics and cause a lot of the problems. The real issue is that we should go into risky endeavors with our eyes wide open. If we are going to explore space we WILL lose vehicles and crews. The solution is to KNOW the real risks and make informed choices knowing the chances of loosing the throw of the dice. If we lie to the people, twist the statistics, then lynch someone with blame when things go wrong we do a huge disservice to those who take the risks (INFORMED risks) to advance the science. I did training for astronaut classes, and they KNEW the risks, and took them. Every one of them knew the chances they would be blown to cinders or killed by radiation or suffocated in an accident. We had brave people lined up to do it anyway.
It is the same with us and our flying old airplanes. EVERY time we go up we KNOW we are taking a risk (not nearly the risk an astronaut does, but much higher than taking up bridge). We do it anyway because it is worth it. We love it and our lives wouldn't be complete without it. The old statistic about the most dangerous part of a GA plane flight being hte drive to the airport is BUNK. I know, I ran the numbers. Our risk is about the same as riding a motorcycle. Yea, I know, shocked me too! We do what we can to reduce the risk. The total risk is based on ALL GA flights and normal driving. That means the risk taken by the idiots out there who "flat-hat", don't get weather forecasts, skip parts of the pre-flight, don't use check lists and all the other things we see all the time and say, "Well, NOT ME! I wouldn't do that!", are included in the data. Fly safe and DON'T fly when you shouldn't and your odds get better, just like staying off the worst roads at rush hour makes driving safer.
What WE do helps us the most and we need to not tempt fate. I have lost too many friends already (astronauts AND GA pilots). Stay safe folks! Have fun, but DON'T take those chances.
Now "Hold my beer and WATCH THIS!!!!" ;-)
Hank
Comment